James Randall Smith Attorey at Law
1201 South Shepherd Houston, TX 77019
Tel: 713/630-0500 e-mail: james@texasparole.com
Fax: 713/630-0553 Website: www.texasparole.com
FY 2006 Parole Approval Rates by Offense Type
Offense Votes Sep-05 Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05 Jan-06 Feb-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 FY Total To Date FY Total Estimated
Aggravated-No Sex Offense Considered 763 667 663 778 695 628 889 616 0 0 0 0 5,699 8,549
AGGRAVATED (NO SEX) Approved 177 168 145 160 130 122 180 117 0 0 0 0 1,199 1,799
Approval Rate 23.20% 25.19% 21.87% 20.57% 18.71% 19.43% 20.25% 18.99% ERR ERR ERR ERR 21.04% 21.04%
Aggravated-Sex Offense Considered 193 213 128 218 202 228 213 231 0 0 0 0 1,626 2,439
AGGRAVATED (SEX) Approved 19 49 17 28 20 20 12 10 0 0 0 0 175 263
Approval Rate 9.84% 23.00% 13.28% 12.84% 9.90% 8.77% 5.63% 4.33% ERR ERR ERR ERR 10.76% 10.78%
Violent-Not Aggravated-No Sex Offense Considered 1,112 923 898 1,086 967 898 1,243 938 0 0 0 0 8,065 12,098
Approved 246 176 166 186 163 161 222 151 0 0 0 0 1,471 2,207
Approval Rate 22.12% 19.07% 18.49% 17.13% 16.86% 17.93% 17.86% 16.10% ERR ERR ERR ERR 18.24% 18.24%
Not Aggravated Sex Offense Considered 143 159 167 191 182 185 226 170 0 0 0 0 1,423 2,135
NOT AGGRAVATED (SEX) Approved 19 22 15 22 11 13 20 17 0 0 0 0 139 209
Approval Rate 13.29% 13.84% 8.98% 11.52% 6.04% 7.03% 8.85% 10.00% ERR ERR ERR ERR 9.77% 9.79%
Nonviolent-No Sex Offense Considered 3,609 3,566 3,485 3,730 3,565 3,133 4,825 3,750 0 0 0 0 29,663 44,495
NONVIOLENT (NO SEX) Approved 1,260 1,212 1,114 1,114 1,144 938 1,450 1,155 0 0 0 0 9,387 14,081
Approval Rate 34.91% 33.99% 31.97% 29.87% 32.09% 29.94% 30.05% 30.80% ERR ERR ERR ERR 31.65% 31.65%
Total Considered 5,820 5,528 5,341 6,003 5,611 5,072 7,396 5,705 0 0 0 0 46,476 69,714
Total Approved 1,721 1,627 1,457 1,510 1,468 1,254 1,884 1,450 0 0 0 0 12,371 18,557
Approval Rate 29.57% 29.43% 27.28% 25.15% 26.16% 24.72% 25.47% 25.42% ERR ERR ERR ERR 26.62% 26.62%
FY 2006 Discretionary MS Approval Rates by Offense Type
Offense Votes Sep-05 Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05 Jan-06 Feb-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 FY Total To Date FY Total Estimated
Aggravated-No Sex Offense Considered 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2
AGGRAVATED (NO SEX) Approved 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Offense Categories for Parole Considerations Population 1 2
Approval Rate 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% ERR 0.00% ERR ERR 100.00% 100.00%
Aggravated-Sex Offense Considered 0 4 4 2 2 3 6 1 0 0 0 0 22 33
AGGRAVATED (SEX) Approved 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5
Approval Rate ERR 0.00% 50.00% 50.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% ERR ERR ERR ERR 13.64% 15.15%
Violent-Not Aggravated-No Sex Offense Considered 194 209 212 285 258 224 295 311 0 0 0 0 1,988 2,982
Approved 61 71 65 84 70 72 78 106 0 0 0 0 607 911
Approval Rate 31.44% 33.97% 30.66% 29.47% 27.13% 32.14% 26.44% 34.08% ERR ERR ERR ERR 30.53% 30.55%
Not Aggravated Sex Offense Considered 13 13 16 29 29 22 27 27 0 0 0 0 176 264
NOT AGGRAVATED (SEX) Approved 2 1 2 5 6 2 4 6 0 0 0 0 28 42
Approval Rate 15.38% 7.69% 12.50% 17.24% 20.69% 9.09% 14.81% 22.22% ERR ERR ERR ERR 15.91% 15.91%
Nonviolent-No Sex Offense Considered 818 980 1,062 1,170 1,202 941 1,304 1,176 0 0 0 0 8,653 12,980
NONVIOLENT (NO SEX) Approved 471 530 562 687 711 557 803 714 0 0 0 0 5,035 7,553
Approval Rate 57.58% 54.08% 52.92% 58.72% 59.15% 59.19% 61.58% 60.71% ERR ERR ERR ERR 58.19% 58.19%
Total Considered 1,026 1,206 1,294 1,486 1,491 1,190 1,632 1,515 0 0 0 0 10,840 16,260
Total Approved 535 602 631 777 787 631 885 826 0 0 0 0 5,674 8,511
Approval Rate 52.14% 49.92% 48.76% 52.29% 52.78% 53.03% 54.23% 54.52% ERR ERR ERR ERR 52.34% 52.34%
Note: The above numbers are based on preliminary data and are subject to change. Approvals for offenders to begin serving additional consecutive sentences are not included. Withdrawn considerations are not considered in these figures.
FY 2006 Parole Approval Rates by Guidelines Level
Guideline Score Votes Sep-05 Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05 Jan-06 Feb-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 FY Total To Date FY Total Estimated Estimated Approval Rate
1 Considered 46 40 40 56 63 47 62 49 0 0 0 0 403 605 0% - 5%
AGGRAVATED (NO SEX) Approved 1 1 1 3 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 13 20
Approval Rate 2.17% 2.50% 2.50% 5.36% 4.76% 6.38% 1.61% 0.00% ERR ERR ERR ERR 3.23% 3.31%
2 Considered 766 636 622 728 707 636 906 653 0 0 0 0 5,654 8,481 6% - 15%
AGGRAVATED (SEX) Approved 132 111 97 106 66 71 106 73 0 0 0 0 762 1,143
Approval Rate 17.23% 17.45% 15.59% 14.56% 9.34% 11.16% 11.70% 11.18% ERR ERR ERR ERR 13.48% 13.48%
3 Considered 644 562 518 711 623 562 758 633 0 0 0 0 5,011 7,517 16% - 25%
Approved 160 138 101 136 94 89 116 93 0 0 0 0 927 1,391
Approval Rate 24.84% 24.56% 19.50% 19.13% 15.09% 15.84% 15.30% 14.69% ERR ERR ERR ERR 18.50% 18.50%
4 Considered 1,670 1,623 1,548 1,819 1,854 1,721 2,279 1,706 0 0 0 0 14,220 21,330 26% - 35%
NOT AGGRAVATED (SEX) Approved 394 383 344 385 416 359 483 304 0 0 0 0 3,068 4,602
Approval Rate 23.59% 23.60% 22.22% 21.17% 22.44% 20.86% 21.19% 17.82% ERR ERR ERR ERR 21.58% 21.58%
5 Considered 684 719 682 736 752 663 1024 774 0 0 0 0 6,034 9,051 36% - 50%
NONVIOLENT (NO SEX) Approved 250 255 235 225 260 202 344 233 0 0 0 0 2,004 3,006
Approval Rate 36.55% 35.47% 34.46% 30.57% 34.57% 30.47% 33.59% 30.10% ERR ERR ERR ERR 33.21% 33.21%
6 Considered 865 884 844 1,013 1,032 867 1,268 1,003 0 0 0 0 7,776 11,664 51% - 75%
UNKNOWN Approved 359 381 350 361 408 338 494 427 0 0 0 0 3,118 4,677
Approval Rate 41.50% 43.10% 41.47% 35.64% 39.53% 38.99% 38.96% 42.57% ERR ERR ERR ERR 40.10% 40.10%
7 Considered 375 310 354 388 384 305 490 427 0 0 0 0 3,033 4,550 76% - 100%
UNKNOWN Approved 200 153 152 173 176 128 216 214 0 0 0 0 1,412 2,118
Approval Rate 53.33% 49.35% 42.94% 44.59% 45.83% 41.97% 44.08% 50.12% ERR ERR ERR ERR 46.55% 46.55%
Total with Guidelines Considered 5,050 4,774 4,608 5,451 5,415 4,801 6,787 5,245 0 0 0 0 42,131 63,197 31.52%
Total Approved 1,496 1,422 1,280 1,389 1,423 1,190 1760 1,344 0 0 0 0 11,304 16,956 to
Approval Rate 29.62% 29.79% 27.78% 25.48% 26.28% 24.79% 25.93% 25.62% ERR ERR ERR ERR 26.83% 26.83% 45.05%
Total without Guidelines Considered 770 754 733 552 196 271 609 460 0 0 0 0 4,345 6,518
Total Approved 225 205 177 121 45 64 124 106 0 0 0 0 1,067 1,601
Approval Rate 29.22% 27.19% 24.15% 21.92% 22.96% 23.62% 20.36% 23.04% ERR ERR ERR ERR 24.56% 24.56%
FY 2006 Cases Approved for Parole by FI Types
Month FI-1 FI-2 FI-3 FI-4 FI-5 FI-6 FI-3R FI-6R FI-7R FI-9R FI-18R TOTAL # Tier Votes To Date % Tier Votes To Date # Tier Votes Estimated
Sep-05 478 355 0 0 179 0 273 393 3 19 21 1,721 709 8,508
28% 21% 0% 0% 10% 0% 16% 23% 0% 1% 1% 41%
Oct-05 492 280 0 1 83 0 281 420 1 18 51 1,627 1,480 8,880
30% 17% 0% 0% 5% 0% 17% 26% 0% 1% 3% 44%
Nov-05 438 308 0 2 40 0 226 398 3 17 25 1,457 2,149 8,596
30% 21% 0% 0% 3% 0% 16% 27% 0% 1% 2% 45%
Dec-05 430 339 0 5 61 0 216 390 2 29 38 1,510 2,824 8,472
28% 22% 0% 0% 4% 0% 14% 26% 0% 2% 3% 45%
Jan-06 475 253 0 8 33 0 228 421 1 7 42 1,468 3,523 8,455
32% 17% 0% 1% 2% 0% 16% 29% 0% 0% 3% 45%
Feb-06 372 196 0 10 31 0 241 369 0 7 28 1,254 4,168 8,336
30% 16% 0% 1% 2% 0% 19% 29% 0% 1% 2% 46%
Mar-06 520 331 0 12 77 0 361 489 3 26 65 1,884 5,112 8,763
28% 18% 0% 1% 4% 0% 19% 26% 0% 1% 3% 47%
Apr-06 367 312 0 18 68 0 273 342 3 25 42 1,450 5,797 8,696
25% 22% 0% 1% 5% 0% 19% 24% 0% 2% 3% 47%
May-06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5,797 7,729
ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR 47%
Jun-06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8,479 851
ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR 52%
Jul-06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8,479 773
ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR 69%
Aug-06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8,479 709
ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR 69%
FY Total to date 3,572 2,374 0 56 572 0 2,099 3,222 16 148 312 12,371
29% 19% 0% 0% 5% 0% 17% 26% 0% 1% 3% 100%
Note: The above numbers are based on preliminary data and are subject to change. Approvals for offenders to begin serving additional consecutive sentences are not included. Withdrawn considerations are not considered in these figures.